Joe Biden wins Iowa Democratic caucus

Joe Biden has won Iowa’s Democratic caucus, the Associated Press reports.

The president has triumphed in every state that has voted so far in the Democratic nomination process, as incumbent presidents typically do. For Republicans, Iowa was the first state to vote, with Donald Trump sweeping their caucuses held in January.

Key events

When do polls close in Super Tuesday states?

We’re about 35 minutes away from the first polls closing in east coast states, and voting will continue wrap up in states further west in the hours to come.

Here’s a list of when polls are scheduled to close in the state’s voting on this Super Tuesday. All times eastern:

  • Alabama: 7pm local, 8pm ET

  • Alaska: 8pm local, 12am ET

  • Arkansas: 7.30pm local, 8.30pm ET

  • California: 8pm local, 11pm ET

  • Colorado: 7pm local, 9pm ET

  • Maine: 8pm local

  • Massachusetts: 8pm local

  • Minnesota: 8pm local, 9pm ET

  • North Carolina: 7.30pm local

  • Oklahoma: 7pm local, 8pm ET

  • Tennessee: 7pm local, 8pm ET

  • Texas: 7pm local, 8pm ET, except in the state’s far west, which is on mountain time and where polls will close at 9pm ET

  • Utah: 9pm local, 11pm ET

  • Vermont: 7pm ET

  • Virginia: 7pm ET

With Joe Biden a shoo-in for the Democratic nomination, and Donald Trump leading all state-level polls, don’t be surprised if the Associated Press calls the winner of many of these states shortly after polls close.

Share

Updated at 

Fran Lawther

Millions of voters have cast ballots today in primaries across the United States. Here are some of the latest images from the newswires:

Voters cast their ballots in Arlington, Virginia. Photograph: Kent Nishimura/Getty Images
Ballots are inspected at a processing center in Industry, California. Photograph: Marcio José Sánchez/AP
A poll worker walks outside a polling location in Sullivan City, Texas. Photograph: Cheney Orr/Reuters
Voters cast their ballots at a polling station in San Francisco, California. Photograph: Bloomberg/Getty Images
A person leaves after voting at the C Norman Transgender Empowerment center in Los Angeles, California. Photograph: Aude Guerrucci/Reuters
Share

Updated at 

Joe Biden won overwhelmingly in Iowa, with 11,083 votes, according to unofficial results from the state Democratic party.

Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips was his closest runner-up, with 362 votes, followed by author Marianne Williamson, who received 268.

“Uncommitted”, the category favored by protest groups unhappy with Biden’s policy towards Israel’s invasion of Gaza, received 480 votes.

Iowa’s Democrats in previous years held their caucuses on the same date as the Republicans, but this year, conducted the election by mail.

Share

Updated at 

Joe Biden wins Iowa Democratic caucus

Joe Biden has won Iowa’s Democratic caucus, the Associated Press reports.

The president has triumphed in every state that has voted so far in the Democratic nomination process, as incumbent presidents typically do. For Republicans, Iowa was the first state to vote, with Donald Trump sweeping their caucuses held in January.

California officials concerned over signs of low turnout

Gabrielle Canon

With about six hours left until polls close in California, officials are growing increasingly concerned that turnout in the state’s primary will end up being abysmal.

Most registered residents in the state expressed lukewarm feelings about voting, according to a survey published in late February by the Public Policy Institute of California. Even though 84% of responders said they believed casting a vote was “very important”, just 14% said they were enthusiastic about participating.

Only about 8% of California’s 22 million voters had returned their mail-in ballots a week before voting day, Politico reported. The numbers fall even more for younger voters between the ages of 18 and 34, a subset that typically boosts progressive candidates and priorities. Only 2% in that age group had turned in their ballots during that same time period.

Analysts said the widespread voter apathy could benefit Republicans, especially in the Senate race where the GOP candidate, Steve Garvey, is vying for second place behind Democratic frontrunner Adam Schiff.

“Looking at the returns thus far, we can see the beginnings of a low-turnout election, potentially with a relatively higher Republican turnout,” Paul Mitchell wrote on Capitol Weekly in February.

He continued:

The electorate is also incredibly old, with seniors being only 25% of the electorate, but 57% of returns. Voters 18-34, also 25% of the electorate, are only 8% of returns. White voters are also outperforming – while they are 55% of registrants, they are 70% of returns, and while Latinos are at a record high 28% of voters, they are at just 15% of ballots returned.

The impacts of these turnout numbers on campaigns can be massive. Lower turnout is correlated with more volatile election outcomes. Will this have an impact on a big race like the US Senate contest? Maybe. A higher Republican turnout would point to a race in which Steve Garvey makes it to the General election, closing out the election for two of the three main Democratic challengers.

A low turnout election, especially with relatively higher Republican participation, could also cause many legislative and congressional races in heavily Democratic districts to be decided in the primary when a Republican makes the runoff.

Share

Updated at 

All eyes on ‘uncommitted’ votes as Alabama, Iowa, North Carolina, Tennessee and Minnesota offer option on ballot

Rachel Leingang

The quickly organized push for a protest vote against Joe Biden over his handling of the Israel-Gaza war faces a test of its momentum this evening, with multiple Super Tuesday states having a ballot option to vote for nobody.

The effort first ran in Michigan, where Democratic voters delivered more than 100,000 votes for “uncommitted” to send a message to the US president that they want a permanent ceasefire. Other states saw the results there and started working on the ground, standing up voter outreach to spread the word.

Though there are a few Democrats running against Biden depending on the state, his strongest opposition yet this primary could come from the uncommitted campaign. Supporters want to keep the pressure on Biden via the ballot box to make him move on Gaza.

Minnesota’s uncommitted campaign is seen as the most likely to bring in a good number of protest votes, given the state’s large Muslim community, high voter turnout and progressive history. Massachusetts and Colorado have also organized around the idea, so we’re keeping an eye on their numbers in Tuesday’s results.

Other Super Tuesday states have a version of uncommitted as well: Alabama, Iowa, North Carolina and Tennessee.

Organizers in Minnesota went to mosques to let people know of the uncommitted option and ran an ad in the state’s largest newspaper, all while working the phones and social media to share the idea.

After Super Tuesday, the movement’s next big bet is Washington state, where already the state’s largest labor union endorsed uncommitted. Washington votes on 12 March.

Share

Updated at 

David Smith

Greetings from Donald Trump’s election watch party (or maybe that should be coronation), as the Republican frontrunner is expected to sweep the board on Super Tuesday.

Media are gathering beneath the Corinthian-style columns, crystal chandeliers and gold leaf decor of the ballroom at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida. Rows of gold chairs and some white cloth tables are arranged on the marble floor. Big TV screens proclaim: “Make America great again!” There are 13 American flags on stage behind a “Trump: Make America great again 2024” lectern.

The mood is likely to be very different from the night here in November 2022 when Trump announced he was running for president again. On that occasion the mood was subdued after a disappointing showing by Republicans in the midterm elections. Trump’s victory in a Republican presidential primary against Florida governor Ron DeSantis looked far from assured. He came over as an ageing comic whose punchlines no longer land.

Expect a different Trump tonight – triumphant, braggadocious, claiming vindication. It remains to be seen if we’ll get Trump the Magnanimous, congratulating Nikki Haley on a race well run, or Trump the Gloater, punching down at his opponent and full of petty gripes and grievances. Either way, the bejewelled crowd will lap it up.

Share

Updated at 

Kyrsten Sinema enraged progressives during the first two years of Joe Biden’s presidency by blocking priorities such as higher taxes on billionaires that had the support of much of the Democratic party.

Leah Greenberg, co-founder of progressive group Indivisible had this to say after Sinema announced she will not seek re-election to the Senate:

Kyrsten Sinema will go down in history as a feckless, corrupt egomaniac who sabotaged abortion and voting rights and destroyed her own political career in the process. Enjoy your lobbying gig and leave the rest of us alone forever https://t.co/gNMahMwccP

— Leah Greenberg (@Leahgreenb) March 5, 2024

Share

Updated at 

Only in the past few years have Democrats known success in Arizona’s Senate races, and Republicans are hoping to undo that in November.

In a statement, Montana senator and head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee Steve Daines said Kyrsten Sinema’s decision to bow out will boost the prospects of Kari Lake, who the party is backing for the seat.

“An open seat in Arizona creates a unique opportunity for Republicans to build a lasting Senate majority this November. With recent polling showing Kyrsten Sinema pulling far more Republican voters than Democrat voters, her decision to retire improves Kari Lake’s opportunity to flip this seat,” Daines said.

Turnout lags in Minnesota, early indications suggest

Rachel Leingang

Turnout has lagged in Minnesota’s primary compared to previous years, at least so far.

About 88,000 people had returned early ballots as of Tuesday morning, out of 200,000 who had received them, the state’s secretary of state, Steve Simon, told reporters.

Nationally, many states have seen lower turnout this presidential primary season as Trump and Biden have dominated the nominating contests, leaving voters feeling like their vote won’t play much of a role at this point.

“There are at least a couple of factors that explain turnout,” Simon said. “One is candidates that inspire strong feelings, and the other is perceptions of competitiveness. I think it’s safe to say, I don’t think I’m breaking any new ground here, that we have a lot of number one, and not so much of number two.”

But the lower turnout in the presidential primaries doesn’t tell us anything about what could happen in November’s general election. Presidential general elections bring the highest turnout of any US elections.

“Over the last many years, there has been virtually no connection, virtually none, between early in the year primary turnout and general election turnout,” Simon said.

Nationally, many states have seen lower turnout this presidential primary season as Trump and Biden have dominated the nominating contests, leaving voters feeling like their vote won’t play much of a role at this point.

“There are at least a couple of factors that explain turnout,” Simon said. “One is candidates that inspire strong feelings, and the other is perceptions of competitiveness. I think it’s safe to say, I don’t think I’m breaking any new ground here, that we have a lot of number one, and not so much of number two.”

But the lower turnout in the presidential primaries doesn’t tell us anything about what could happen in November’s general election. Presidential general elections bring the highest turnout of any US elections.

“Over the last many years, there has been virtually no connection, virtually none, between early in the year primary turnout and general election turnout,” Simon said.

Share

Updated at 

Interim summary

Hello US politics live blog readers, Super Tuesday is all go at the voting booths and the results will start coming in this evening. We’ll be here to bring you all the news and the context, as it happens.

Here’s where things stand:

  • Senator Bob Menendez, Democrat of New Jersey, and his wife, Nadine Menendez, have been charged with obstruction of justice in a new, 18-count indictment unsealed on Tuesday related to a years-long bribery scheme linked to Egypt and Qatar.

  • Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, ex-Democratic Party and now independent US Senator, has announced she will retire at the end of her term this year. Her exit clears the way for a likely matchup between Republican Kari Lake and Democratic Ruben Gallego in one of the most closely watched 2024 Senate races.

  • Nikki Haley, the last rival to Donald Trump for the Republican nomination, once again rejected a third-party presidential bid, as she insisted she would stay in the Republican race “as long as we’re competitive.” She told Fox News on Super Tuesday: “All of these people deserve to vote. Sixteen states want to have their voices heard.”

  • Senator John Barrasso of Wyoming has decided not to run for Senate Republican leader to succeed Mitch McConnell, and instead will run for the No. 2 position of whip, according to multiple reports. Barrasso, 71, is relatively popular with the Republican right. He endorsed Donald Trump in January and has the closes relationship with the former president of the “three Johns”.

  • Barasso’s decision not to run means the race is now effectively between senators John Thune of South Dakota and John Cornyn of Texas, although Barrasso’s departure could pave the way for another Trump ally to throw their hat in the ring, such as Senator Rick Scott of Florida, who met with Trump on Monday night amid speculation that he could launch a bid for Senate leader.

  • Polls are open and voting is under way in some states as millions head to the ballot box on this Super Tuesday, the largest day for voting for both Democrats and Republicans before the November presidential election. Voters involved today are in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia. The territory of American Samoa will be caucusing.

The Guardian US Super Tuesday live blogging team’s Léonie Chao-Fong is now handing over for the rest of the day and evening to Chris Stein and Maanvi Singh.

Share

Updated at 

Senator Bob Menendez charged with obstruction of justice in new indictment

Senator Bob Menendez and his wife, Nadine Menendez, have been charged with obstruction of justice in a new, 18-count indictment unsealed on Tuesday related to a years-long bribery scheme linked to Egypt and Qatar.

Menendez has pleaded not guilty to earlier charges of accepting hundreds of thousands of dollars from businessmen to impede law enforcement probes they faced, and illegally acting as an agent of the Egyptian government.

In the new indictment, federal prosecutors in Manhattan said Menendez’s former lawyers had told them in meetings last year that Menendez had not been aware of mortgage or car payments that two businessmen had made for his wife, and that he thought the payments were loans, Reuters reported.

Richard Luscombe

In countless campaign appearances during his futile pursuit of the Republican presidential nomination, Florida’s rightwing governor, Ron DeSantis, celebrated his state as “the place woke goes to die”.

Now, by virtue of a federal appeals court ruling that skewers a centerpiece of his anti-diversity and inclusion agenda, Florida resembles a place where anti-woke legislation goes to die.

In a scathing ruling released late on Monday, a three-judge panel of the 11th circuit appeals court in Atlanta blasted DeSantis’s 2022 Stop Woke Act – which banned employers from providing mandatory workplace diversity training, or from teaching that any person is inherently racist or sexist – as “the greatest first amendment sin”.

Governor Ron DeSantis in South Carolina on 20 January. Photograph: Randall Hill/Reuters

The judges upheld a lower court’s ruling that the law violated employers’ constitutional rights to freedom of speech and expression. They were also critical of DeSantis for “exceeding the bounds” of the US constitution by imposing political ideology through legislation.

The panel said the state could not be selective by only banning discussion of particular concepts it found “offensive” while allowing others.

Donald Trump is seeking a new trial in the defamation case brought by E Jean Carroll, claiming that the judge in the case improperly restricted his testimony.

In January, Trump was ordered to pay $83.3m in damages to Carroll for defaming her in 2019 when he denied her allegation that he raped her in the dressing room of a Manhattan department store in the 1990s.

Trump’s testimony lasted less than five minutes as the judge in this case, Lewis Kaplan, significantly limited what the ex-president could say in court.

In a court filing on Tuesday, Trump’s defense attorneys Alina Habba and John Sauer argued “the Court’s restrictions on President Trump’s testimony were erroneous and prejudicial” because Trump was not allowed to explain “his own mental state” when he made the defamatory statements about Carroll. They continued:

This Court’s erroneous decision to dramatically limit the scope of President Trump’s testimony almost certainly influenced the jury’s verdict, and thus a new trial is warranted.

Arizona senator Kyrsten Sinema says she won’t seek reelection

Senator Kyrsten Sinema, an Arizona independent, has announced she will retire at the end of her term this year.

“I love Arizona and I am so proud of what we’ve delivered,” she said in a video posted to social media.

Because I choose civility, understanding, listening, working together to get stuff done, I will leave the Senate at the end of this year.

The now independent senator won her seat in 2018 as a Democrat. She was the first non-Republican to win a Senate seat for Arizona since 1994. She’d go on in December 2022 to announce her leave from the Democratic party to become an independent.

Her exit clears the way for a likely matchup between Republican Kari Lake and Democratic Ruben Gallego in one of the most closely watched 2024 Senate races.

Share

Updated at 

Joe Biden claimed he has been leading in recent public opinion polls not noticed by the media.

The president was asked about his message for Democrats who are concerned about his poll numbers as he boarded Air Force One in Hagerstown, Maryland. Biden replied:

The last five polls I’m winning. Five in a row, five. You guys only look at the New York Times.

A spokesperson for the Biden campaign did not immediately provide a full list of polls referenced by Biden, the Washington Post reported.

Biden was also asked about the chances of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, to which he said:

It’s in the hands of Hamas right now. Israelis have been cooperating. There’s been a rational offer. We will know in a couple of days what’s gonna happen. We need a ceasefire.





Source link